重磅调查！纽约租房近期风险加剧……
纽约小房东于10月2日至10月4日进行了9月的租务调查。
9月份房东的租赁拖欠率从8月份的55%下降到48%。另外，9月是连续第三个月，现在有空房不招租的房东多于有空房仍招租的房东。 即使在收取了当月所有租金的房东中，也有超过三分之一的人打算在单位空置时不出租。当问及仍然有房客的房东时，如果有空房时会否不招租，则只有41%的房东有此意图。
据法庭数据，纽约市上月房屋法庭立1243案，并判1284案。这比8月份的3200案大幅下降。此外，五区的三区判案多于立案。皇后区判案218， 布鲁克林判案463件和立案393件，史坦顿岛47件和32件。相反，9月份商业案件判少立多。
（图片源自newyorker）
当被问及住宅租赁市场的法律危机是否即将结束时，纽约小房东的何德邻表示，“现在得出这个结论还为时过早。如果我们真的渡过了危机，我们应该观察到房地产交易应该恢复到某种正常状态。恰恰相反，房地产市场交易量骤降。环比过去18年的8月（即自2003年以来），2021年8月的单户房（即非condo和coop）交易数量为第三少，共1253笔，甚至少于2020年，少47笔交易，仅次2010年8月和2011年8月。”自2003年以来，纽约市在两户房和三户房的交易为第二少，仅次2010年8月。四到十户房更是18年来最少交易的8月。
他认为8月交易量的突降可能事出多因，难始终一论，例如，例如，新冠病毒的卷土重来、经济数据的消费信心突然下降或新确认的通货膨胀，更不用说租赁市场法律风险的现实也可能渗透到单户住宅市场。
原文如下：
September rent delinquency rate among the landlords decreased to 48%, from August’s 55%. Furthermore, September is the third consecutive month where there are more landlords who are actually not leasing their vacant units than those who are leasing their vacant units. Even among the landlords who collected all the rent for the month, more than one third of them intend not to lease should a unit become vacant. However, when asked to all landlords, with or without vacant units, if they intend to keep their units off the leasing market should they have a vacant unit, close to half (41%) of them state that intent.
According to the Office of Court Administration, New York City had 1243 residential cases filed and adjudicated 1284 cases last month in the housing courts. This is a significant drop of filed cases than the 3200 in August. In addition, three of the five boroughs resolved more cases than filed. Queens resolved 218 and had 107 filed. Brooklyn had resolved 463 and had 393 filed, and Staten Island 47 and 32. On the contrary, commercial cases are getting accumulated instead in September.
When asked if the legal crisis in the residential rental market is reaching its end, Roy Ho of poagny.com says that “it is too early to reach this conclusion. If we are truly over the crisis, we should observe that the real estate transaction should be back to some kind of normalcy. On the very contrary, the real estate market has reached a sudden drop in transactions. September has the third fewest single-family transactions, at 1253, in the last 18 years’ Septembers (i.e. since 2003), even fewer than 2020 and 497 fewer transactions than August 2020, next to 2010 and 2011.” NYC recorded the second fewest transactions in two-family, three family and four-to-ten unit transactions as well since 2003, next to 2010, and fewer than August.
He reasons that this sudden drop of transactions may be due a variety of reasons, such as the resurgence of COVID in the late summer, sudden drop of consumer confidence in the economic releases or newly recognized inflation, not to mention the possibility of the continual legal risk in the rental market being permeated to the single-family market as well.
